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,Forget about juggling a basket of country risk in places like South Africa and South America.based on millions of years of geology and some exciting new discovery methods.What is your thesis for diversifying your portfolio to both protect and possibly grow wealth in this market?John Kaiser: It's interesting that American households currently have bank deposits totaling $8.7 trillion, which is an all-time record, and yet these deposits are earning less than 1%.This illustrates the anxiety about where the general economy and equity markets are going.That is why I am recommending that cautious investors leave 90-95% of their portfolio in low-yielding cash deposits, and then shift the other 5-10% into a diversified portfolio of extremely high-risk securities that could yield some big winners.
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,This is the core of the whole problem with the western financial system: pretty much everything has already been borrowed against, levered against, leveraged.There is very little to no unencumbered collateral left, which leaves only one thing - it leaves printing of currency.The printing of currencies will end up in hyper-inflation.They always have and they always will.Ultimately, the printing is the only way that the debt is going to be able to be paid back.It is not that you have a deflationary collapse; it is one or the other or both.CK: That truly points out just how important having the sound money system that you advocate and having gold back in the money system is.
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,On the other hand, investors who feel that they have some sort of investment edge such as superior stock picking ability, might consider protecting themselves with puts in order to reduce their overall market risk.If puts seem too expensive, they might want to consider one of the four other hedging strategies I outlined in my 2009 article, or consider using short call spreads.Such strategies tend to have lower ongoing costs (some even produce income), but they either provide less protection in the case of large market declines, or they potentially produce large losses when the market rises.Just yesterday, Marc Faber told CNBC that he "would not be surprised" if the S 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted 20% from their recent highs.
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,The at first unbelievable discovery that mosquitoes spread yellow fever and malaria led to a mass sanitary campaign to clean up Panama, Colon and other canal sites.Col.William Gorgas headed sanitation squads that fumigated houses, searched for the stagnant water that could support mosquito larvae and checked screens for signs of rust.The efforts worked; the fever that had been attributed to everything from poor morals to bad dirt was finally eradicated.For many years, explorers sought a fabled Northwest Passage, or shortcut arching over North America between Europe and Asia.The icy conditions of the Arctic, however, made such a passage impossible -- until now.
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,But unless the bond bulls get really ahead of themselves, that is not going to happen until the Fed hikes rates with gusto.As a result, the readings of the LEI will be biased upwards in the current environment.(This breakdown of the yield curve as an indicator in a zero policy rate environment was obvious a long time ago for anyone who covered the Japanese economy.) Returning the Philadelphia Fed index, this may be an explanation of why it is still relatively high, but I will stress that I have not looked at this possibility in detail.(I would have to replicate the index methodology to see what is happening.)Surprise Indicators This article by John Jansen of "Across The Curve" discusses the Citigroup Surprise Index.
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,This is the core of the whole problem with the western financial system: pretty much everything has already been borrowed against, levered against, leveraged.There is very little to no unencumbered collateral left, which leaves only one thing - it leaves printing of currency.The printing of currencies will end up in hyper-inflation.They always have and they always will.Ultimately, the printing is the only way that the debt is going to be able to be paid back.It is not that you have a deflationary collapse; it is one or the other or both.CK: That truly points out just how important having the sound money system that you advocate and having gold back in the money system is.
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,On the other hand, investors who feel that they have some sort of investment edge such as superior stock picking ability, might consider protecting themselves with puts in order to reduce their overall market risk.If puts seem too expensive, they might want to consider one of the four other hedging strategies I outlined in my 2009 article, or consider using short call spreads.Such strategies tend to have lower ongoing costs (some even produce income), but they either provide less protection in the case of large market declines, or they potentially produce large losses when the market rises.Just yesterday, Marc Faber told CNBC that he "would not be surprised" if the S 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted 20% from their recent highs.
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,The at first unbelievable discovery that mosquitoes spread yellow fever and malaria led to a mass sanitary campaign to clean up Panama, Colon and other canal sites.Col.William Gorgas headed sanitation squads that fumigated houses, searched for the stagnant water that could support mosquito larvae and checked screens for signs of rust.The efforts worked; the fever that had been attributed to everything from poor morals to bad dirt was finally eradicated.For many years, explorers sought a fabled Northwest Passage, or shortcut arching over North America between Europe and Asia.The icy conditions of the Arctic, however, made such a passage impossible -- until now.
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,But unless the bond bulls get really ahead of themselves, that is not going to happen until the Fed hikes rates with gusto.As a result, the readings of the LEI will be biased upwards in the current environment.(This breakdown of the yield curve as an indicator in a zero policy rate environment was obvious a long time ago for anyone who covered the Japanese economy.) Returning the Philadelphia Fed index, this may be an explanation of why it is still relatively high, but I will stress that I have not looked at this possibility in detail.(I would have to replicate the index methodology to see what is happening.)Surprise Indicators This article by John Jansen of "Across The Curve" discusses the Citigroup Surprise Index.
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