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,By viewing the graph below, what are the chances of the VIX remaining that low throughout the next couple of months?(click to enlarge)Now that the fiscal cliff issue is off the agenda, the Eurozone mess is most likely to resurface.As Angela Merkel put it in her new year speech: "The crisis is far from over." Some of the CDS spreads (proxy for sovereign risk) have been slowly rising; a clear indication that the Euro crisis is, well, far from over.(click to enlarge)Risk seeking behavior is very high, while economic surprises have been positive and rising for many months but have now stopped rising.
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,It can be a dangerous feeling that can turn a candid investor into a reckless speculator.It also goes against the wisdom of not swinging at every pitch.Thus would this money be better somewhere else?Rethink why I want to buy, and ask if there is a downside to an investment.If there is a downside, would I be willing to double down?There are other trivial things that I do for my personal "scuttlebutt", but those are the main practices I do to instill a better investing style.Thus far, these methods have allowed me not to speculatively buy and sell stocks like they were just ticker symbols.I am always looking for new scuttlebutt methods.
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,The Current Rally The current rally in the S 500 began on 15 November 2012 and has continued through this writing on 4 April 2013.(Click to enlarge) Here we find that given the current level of the S 500's trailing year dividends per share of approximately $32.20, our target exit value would be 1531, 39 points or 2.5% below the S 500's peak of 1570 set on 2 April 2013.On 15 April 2013, that exit value will rise to 1543, and by the end of April 2013, the target exit value will have risen to 1567.We've also pointed out two major "noise" events in the stock market - the "fiscal cliff" crisis at the end of 2012 and the market's reaction to the "Italian election" fiasco in February 2013.
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,The best option for reusing bottles comes from swing-top bottles.Perhaps most famous for delivering imported Grolsch beer, these bottles are ideal for homebrewing.They absorb gas produced by carbonation, and they are durable and even easier to use than bottles capped by a capper.Q.Am I taking a risk of having a keg overflow or a bottle explode? A.Yeast does go to town when you load your keg with fermentables.The Mr.Beer keg is designed to allow gas to escape while using positive gas pressure to eliminate infiltration of wild yeast or other contaminants.Sometimes this system doesn't work fast enough and lids are blown off.
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,We would have been home free, except that the previous night's rain had soaked the soil near the crest, loosening the shale ledges.As we neared the top, each time we placed a foot or hand on the next rock outcropping, the shale broke away from the cliff.With total panic on her face, Cheryl looked over at me-a silent plea for guidance screaming over the space between us.I didn't know what to do next.I had no answers.Like her, I'd also run out of ledges within reach to grasp.Suddenly, my whole life flashed in front of my eyes! It was like watching a movie being projected a few feet in front of me.
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